Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.019165 0.020975 0.022798 0.024767 0.026831 0.028926 0.031211
2025-07-27 0.015537 0.018347 0.021295 0.024599 0.028180 0.031929 0.036131
2025-08-03 0.013779 0.017210 0.020916 0.025175 0.029894 0.034928 0.040670
2025-08-10 0.012009 0.015814 0.020037 0.024998 0.030602 0.036677 0.043702
2025-08-17 0.010522 0.014580 0.019199 0.024738 0.031099 0.038091 0.046273
2025-08-24 0.009367 0.013624 0.018586 0.024646 0.031710 0.039566 0.048852
2025-08-31 0.008306 0.012691 0.017923 0.024426 0.032114 0.040758 0.051070
2025-09-07 0.007450 0.011941 0.017422 0.024345 0.032634 0.042047 0.053365
2025-09-14 0.006530 0.011036 0.016672 0.023915 0.032701 0.042778 0.054992
2025-09-21 0.005717 0.010208 0.015966 0.023495 0.032741 0.043447 0.056521
2025-09-28 0.004861 0.009253 0.015044 0.022757 0.032360 0.043590 0.057411
2025-10-05 0.004514 0.008983 0.014991 0.023093 0.033268 0.045243 0.060054
2025-10-12 0.003959 0.008402 0.014539 0.022957 0.033655 0.046354 0.062164
2025-10-19 0.003432 0.007824 0.014071 0.022794 0.034016 0.047451 0.064286
2025-10-26 0.003190 0.007663 0.014160 0.023345 0.035259 0.049606 0.067661
2025-11-02 0.002758 0.007151 0.013724 0.023176 0.035576 0.050624 0.069672
2025-11-09 0.002352 0.006633 0.013247 0.022927 0.035770 0.051476 0.071471
2025-11-16 0.002033 0.006226 0.012905 0.022839 0.036155 0.052552 0.073531
2025-11-23 0.001720 0.005789 0.012489 0.022629 0.036365 0.053400 0.075307
2025-11-30 0.001471 0.005438 0.012182 0.022551 0.036736 0.054438 0.077308
2025-12-07 0.001188 0.004966 0.011655 0.022140 0.036649 0.054891 0.078585
2025-12-14 0.000944 0.004528 0.011150 0.021738 0.036556 0.055323 0.079825
2025-12-21 0.000692 0.004001 0.010459 0.021033 0.036034 0.055195 0.080360